Allan J. Lichtman, distinguished professor of history at American University, started off by predicting Ronald Reagan’s victory as US President in 1984. He has got all his White House predictions right since then, including that of the stunning win of Donald Trump.
“By the narrowest of possible margins, the keys still point to a Trump victory… We have never seen someone who is broadly regarded as a history-shattering, precedent-making, dangerous candidate who could change the patterns of history that have prevailed since the election of Abraham Lincoln in 1860,” he told Washington Post many weeks ago.
In his interview with the newspaper, he said that the keys to the White House are a set of 13 true/false statements. If six of them are false, the incumbent party loses the presidency.
Lichtmann had also predicted that Trump would win by the narrowest of possible margins.
“I do think this election has the potential to shatter the normal boundaries of American politics and reset everything, including, perhaps, reset the keys to the White House… But there can come a time when change is so cataclysmic that it changes the fundamentals of how we do our politics, and this election has the potential — we don’t know yet, but it has the potential,” he had said.
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