New Delhi: Most pre-poll surveys are predicting that the BJP led NDA would cross 200 plus in the Lok Sabha elections. However, no survey is predicting that the NDA will get a clear majority or cross 272 seats on its own. The NDA is close to halfway mark, but it still needs the backing of some other regional parties to come to power. According to election experts there can be four scenarios.
Scenario 1: The NDA will fall short of less than 30 seats and can go with smaller parties with 1-10 seats. The alliance will be more stable as these smaller parties lack the courage and muscle to arm-twist the government.
Scenario 2: The NDA will stop between 200-220 seats and will have to go with major regional parties. This alliance can be shaky.
Scenario 3: The NDA gets 200 seats and less than that. May have to sacrifice Modi and look for some other 'secular' face acceptable to most future allies. Remote chance.
Scenario 4: The Congress led UPA springs a surprise. Wins 125-130 seats and the third and federal front together win 175-200 seats.
Based on CNN-IBN, Lokniti, CSDS survey we are exploring the routes to power.
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